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Now Running for President: Mitch Daniels’s Ghost

Mitch Daniels’s decision to not run for president stands somewhat in contrast to Mike Huckabee’s, simply because Mr. Daniels had yet to gain significant popular support in the polls. But it also stands...

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The Bipartisan, Cross-Network Love Affair With Putin’s Bare Chest

At this year’s White House Correspondents’ Dinner, President Obama mocked conservative commentators for adoring Russian President Vladimir Putin while at the same time calling the Obama administration...

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Huckabee Could Make It Easier For A More Moderate Republican To Win In 2016

Mike Huckabee left the comfy confines of Fox News on Saturday to think about running for president in 2016. Should Huckabee decide to run, he would reshape the Republican field, dividing the vote of...

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2016 Is Here

When Mike Huckabee announced this past weekend that he was leaving Fox News, he signaled a lot more than just his personal presidential ambitions. Huckabee’s move suggests the 2016 Republican...

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Romney And The GOP’s Five-Ring Circus

There have been rumors for months that Mitt Romney might run for president again in 2016. On Monday afternoon, though, The Washington Post’s Robert Costa, Philip Rucker and Karen Tumulty — three...

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Looking For Clues: Who Is Going To Run For President In 2016?

Figuring out who is going to run for president is a little like figuring out whom to date. Some potential candidates are honest about their intentions, and others are more coy. Is the person sitting...

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Who Will Run For President: Romney Is Out

Mitt Romney’s inchoate 2016 campaign for president is dead. After learning that few Republican insiders supported what would be his third bid for the White House, Romney announced Friday that he will...

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Chaos, Not Scott Walker, Leads The Republican Field In Iowa

Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker is “surging” — all the way up to 16 percent in a new Des Moines Register/Bloomberg poll of potential Iowa caucus-goers. And he’s the second choice of an additional 9 percent...

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Huckabee May Be Doomed To Rerun His 2008 Campaign In 2016

What on earth should we make of Mike Huckabee’s 2016 candidacy. He’s announcing Tuesday that he’s running for president — we know that much. And the polling says he is a legit contender for the...

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How Media Interest In The GOP Candidates Compares To Public Interest

Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal announced his candidacy for president Wednesday, and, if he’s anything like the other Republicans who have officially entered the race, that means news stories about him and...

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How To Evaluate The Economic Records Of Governors Who Want To Be President

When he unveiled his tax plan last week, Jeb Bush said he knew his economic policies would work because he’d “done it before.”“As governor of Florida, I cut taxes every single year,” Bush wrote in a...

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Does Trump, Cruz Or Rubio Have the Best Pre-Debate Chance?

With the fourth Republican debate happening on Tuesday, we used this week’s politics Slack chat to check in on the state of the GOP primary. But this is FiveThirtyEight, so instead of just spouting off...

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Republican Undercard Debate: Live Coverage

micahscohen | 7:54 PM (see updates...)

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CNN Undercard Republican Debate: Live Coverage

5:47 PM We’ll be responding to questions and comments all night — tweet @FIVETHIRTYEIGHT or leave a comment. (see updates...)

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Thousands Of Ted Cruz Supporters Play A Game That Might Win Iowa

DES MOINES, Iowa — On a recent balmy December evening, the political allure of Ted Cruz was on full display in a nearly deserted Des Moines parking lot. There were more than a couple of Texas license...

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Fox Business Undercard Republican Debate: Live Coverage

8:33 PM 12600Micah CohenCheck out our live blog of tonight’s main-stage Fox Business Republican debate. (see updates...)

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Fox News Undercard Republican Debate: Live Coverage

8:23 PM That’s It, Folks 12600Micah CohenSo that wraps up our live blog of the undercard debate (check out our live blog of the main stage Republican debate).Tonight’s festivities may be the last...

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The Tea Pauliers

At last year’s CPAC, at a time when conservatives and the Republican Party hadn’t enjoyed a good news cycle in what seemed like forever, Rush Limbaugh was the big story. He gave the closing address,...

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Southern Republicans Prefer Romney?

Let me condition everything to follow by noting that the results of Saturday’s Southern Republican Leadership Conference straw poll are, well, the results of a straw poll. It’s not necessarily...

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Schaller’s Law of Constitutional Amendment Politics

If you are not already familiar with Godwin’s Law, it refers to the phenomenon of extended if not heated arguments eventually devolving to the point where somebody compares an idea or person to Hitler,...

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